Thomas Daniels

Published On: 26/08/2025
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By Published On: 26/08/2025
Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)StateImportanceEventForecastPrevious
01:30🇦🇺2 pointsConstruction Work Done (QoQ) (Q2)1.0%0.0%
14:30🇺🇸3 pointsCrude Oil Inventories-2.000M-6.014M
14:30🇺🇸2 pointsCushing Crude Oil Inventories———-0.419M
17:00🇺🇸2 points5-Year Note Auction———-3.983%

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on August 27, 2025

Asia-Pacific – Australia

Construction Work Done (QoQ, Q2) – 01:30 UTC

  • Forecast: +1.0% (Prev.: 0.0%)
  • Impact: An improvement signals stronger infrastructure and housing sector activity, supportive for GDP growth outlook. Positive data could lift AUD, while a miss may reinforce slowdown concerns.

United States – Energy & Bond Market

Crude Oil Inventories – 14:30 UTC

  • Forecast: -2.000M (Prev.: -6.014M)
  • Impact: Another draw, even smaller than the prior week, supports oil prices and energy equities. A surprise build would pressure crude and dampen inflation-linked assets.

Cushing Crude Oil Inventories – 14:30 UTC

  • Prev.: +0.419M
  • Impact: A rise in Cushing stocks suggests supply bottlenecks, bearish for WTI pricing. Drawdowns tend to support oil futures.

5-Year Note Auction – 17:00 UTC

  • Prev.: 3.983%
  • Impact: Demand for mid-term U.S. Treasuries gives insight into investor appetite for risk vs. safety. Weak demand could push yields higher, supporting USD but weighing on equities. Strong demand has the opposite effect.

Market Impact Analysis

  • AUD: Construction data is an early Q2 growth signal—important for RBA policy expectations.
  • Oil Markets: After several weeks of draws, focus is on whether the trend continues. Smaller draws or surprise builds could trigger profit-taking in crude oil.
  • U.S. Bonds: The 5-year auction will be closely watched given current Fed policy outlook. Rising yields would reinforce USD strength but pressure stocks.

Overall Impact Score: 7/10

  • Energy data + U.S. bond auction will drive afternoon volatility.
  • AUD moves early in session, while oil and USD take the spotlight later in the day.