Thomas Daniels
Solana’s price experienced a notable surge today, driven by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish remarks, which have heightened market expectations for a 100% likelihood of an interest rate cut in September.
Solana (SOL) price saw a sharp increase, moving in tandem with similar gains across the cryptocurrency market as investors focused on potential interest rate cuts in the near term.
Jerome Powell’s Dovish Outlook Boosts SOL Price
SOL’s price has climbed approximately 10% in the past 24 hours, reaching $158.85 on August 24. This rally follows Jerome Powell’s most dovish outlook in years, suggesting his inflation-combatting measures have been effective. Powell’s remarks have spurred speculation about imminent interest rate cuts.
As of August 24, bond traders were pricing in a 76% probability of a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut in September, a notable increase from 64% prior to Powell’s address at the Jackson Hole symposium. Additionally, there is a 24% chance of a 50 bps rate cut in the same month.
Powell’s dovish stance has led to a decrease in yields on both short- and long-term US Treasury notes. Lower yields diminish the appeal of holding government bonds, encouraging investors to explore non-yielding assets like equities and cryptocurrencies. Solana and the broader crypto market have responded positively to these macroeconomic cues over the past 24 hours.
Rising Open Interest and Funding Rates Signal Optimism for Solana
Solana’s price gains today coincide with an uptick in its open interest (OI) and funding rates in the futures market. Data from Coinglass indicates SOL’s OI rose to $2.19 billion on August 24, up from $2.09 billion the previous day. Concurrently, SOL’s funding rates, calculated every eight hours, increased to 0.0054% from 0.0028%.
The increase in Solana’s OI suggests growing trader participation, while the shift from negative to positive funding rates signals a stronger demand for long positions. Together, these metrics reflect market optimism about Solana’s potential for continued price growth, likely driven by expectations of interest rate cuts.
Technical Analysis: SOL Eyes Further Gains
Solana’s ongoing rally is part of a broader rebound within its existing symmetrical triangle pattern—a technical formation characterized by a narrowing price range with a descending resistance trendline and an ascending support trendline.
The symmetrical triangle typically resolves when the price breaks out in the direction of the prevailing trend, often leading to a move equal to the triangle’s height. As of August 24, SOL has rebounded from the triangle’s lower trendline, with its next target at the upper trendline around $175, aimed for September.
A breakout above the upper trendline, supported by rising trading volumes, could propel Solana’s price towards $325 by the end of 2024, representing a potential gain of over 100% from current levels.
