David Edwards

Published On: 18/06/2025
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Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Increase Risk Exposure as Realized Cap Jumps by $6B
By Published On: 18/06/2025

Following comments made by U.S. President Donald Trump that increased geopolitical dangers in the Middle East, the Bitcoin market saw a significant decline on Tuesday. The remarks, which were directed at Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the supreme leader of Iran, shook investor confidence and created new macroeconomic uncertainties.

Trump stated, “We know exactly where the so-called ‘Supreme Leader’ is hiding,” in a post on Truth Social. Although he is safe there, he is an easy target. For the time being, we won’t kill him. “Our patience is wearing thin,” he continued, as he called for Iran’s “unconditional surrender.”

A string of Israeli airstrikes followed by Iranian drone and missile retaliation signaled the resumption of hostilities between Iran and Israel at the time of the writing. Concerns about further regional volatility and its potential to affect international markets have been raised by these developments.

XRP, Ether, and Bitcoin React Sharply

The cryptocurrency market reacted quickly. According to CoinMarketCap, within an hour after Trump’s remark, Bitcoin (BTC) fell from $104,310 to $103,553, then marginally recovered to $105,450. In the same time frame, XRP fell from $2.16 to $2.14, and Ether (ETH) also fell 1.3% to $2,462.

The mood of the market as a whole became cautious. For the first time in almost two weeks, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which measures market sentiment, fell 16 points to a “Neutral” value of 52.

The psychological impact of the $100,000 milestone for Bitcoin was highlighted by analysts. According to cryptocurrency analyst Doctor Profit, “Bitcoin will drop below $100,000 in the coming days.” He also said that a correction to $93,000 was expected, along with a 7–10% decrease in the S&P 500. Jelle, on the other hand, described the recent consolidation as “much more sustainable than a rapid climb without structure,” indicating that it was a healthy development.

Bitfinex analysts also expressed caution, stating, “Bitcoin is still at risk of falling further, and it must hold above $102,000 to stay on track for a potential rebound.”

These days, political risk is a major factor in cryptocurrency markets.

Trump’s actions have affected the cryptocurrency markets before. Following the administration’s imposition of fresh tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico, Bitcoin fell below $100,000 in early February. Nevertheless, Trump’s election victory in November 2024 set off a strong rise, and on December 5th, Bitcoin crossed the $100,000 mark for the first time.

Traders and investors are increasingly keeping a close eye on the relationship between geopolitics and the performance of digital assets as global political factors have a greater impact on cryptocurrency pricing. More volatility in cryptocurrency markets seems expected given how unresolved the Middle East’s tensions are.

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