Thomas Daniels

Published On: 08/09/2025
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By Published On: 08/09/2025
Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)StateImportanceEventForecastPrevious
01:30🇦🇺2 pointsNAB Business Confidence (Aug)———-7
10:00🇪🇺2 pointsEurogroup Meetings———-———-
14:00🇺🇸2 pointsPayrolls Benchmark, n.s.a.———--598.00K
16:00🇺🇸2 pointsEIA Short-Term Energy Outlook———-———-
17:00🇺🇸2 points3-Year Note Auction———-3.669%
20:30🇺🇸2 pointsAPI Weekly Crude Oil Stock———-0.622M

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on September 9, 2025

Asia – Australia

Australia – NAB Business Confidence (Aug) – 01:30 UTC

  • Previous: 7
  • Impact: A measure of corporate sentiment. Rising confidence would support AUD and equities by signaling stronger investment and hiring outlooks. A decline could revive concerns about domestic slowdown, especially after recent weakness in building approvals.

Europe – Eurozone

Eurogroup Meetings – 10:00 UTC

  • Impact: Key EU finance ministers meeting. Discussions often cover fiscal policy, debt sustainability, and banking union. Market-moving potential if remarks hint at fiscal easing/tightening or banking sector vulnerabilities. EUR and EU bond yields could react.

United States – Employment & Energy

U.S. Payrolls Benchmark, n.s.a. – 14:00 UTC

  • Previous: -598K
  • Impact: This is an annual adjustment to payroll estimates. Large revisions can alter the market’s perception of past job strength. If downward, it could weaken confidence in labor market resilience → bearish for USD and equities. Upward revisions support USD.

U.S. EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook – 16:00 UTC

  • Impact: Provides global oil demand/supply projections. Stronger demand forecasts support oil prices and energy equities; weaker outlook pressures crude and commodity-linked FX.

U.S. 3-Year Note Auction – 17:00 UTC

  • Previous: 3.669%
  • Impact: Strong demand lowers yields, signaling risk aversion and USD support. Weak demand could raise yields, pressuring equities and bonds.

API Weekly Crude Oil Stock – 20:30 UTC

  • Previous: +0.622M
  • Impact: Inventory builds weigh on oil prices, while draws support them. Can set expectations for Wednesday’s EIA report.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Asia: AUD traders will focus on NAB confidence. A strong reading could offset recent housing weakness.
  • Europe: Eurogroup discussions may set the tone for fiscal outlook, with limited but notable EUR impact.
  • U.S.: Payroll benchmark revision is the wild card—any big adjustment could shift Fed expectations. Energy data (EIA + API) will steer oil and inflation-linked trades.

Overall Impact Score: 7/10

  • Why: Payroll benchmark revisions and energy data carry moderate to high importance. Combined with bond auction dynamics, the U.S. dominates the trading session.