Jeremy Oles

Published On: 03/02/2025
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Upcoming economic events 4 February 2025
By Published On: 03/02/2025
Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)StateImportanceEventForecastPrevious
03:35🇯🇵2 points10-Year JGB Auction———-1.140%
15:00🇺🇸2 pointsFactory Orders (MoM) (Dec)-0.7%-0.4%
15:00🇺🇸3 pointsJOLTS Job Openings (Dec)7.880M8.098M
16:00🇺🇸2 pointsFOMC Member Bostic Speaks———-———-
18:15🇺🇸2 pointsFOMC Member Daly Speaks———-———-
21:30🇺🇸2 pointsAPI Weekly Crude Oil Stock———-2.860M

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on February 4, 2025

Japan (🇯🇵)

  1. 10-Year JGB Auction(03:35 UTC)
    • Previous: 1.140%.
    • The results will influence JPY and Japanese bond yields. Higher yields could strengthen the yen.

United States (🇺🇸)

  1. Factory Orders (MoM) (Dec)(15:00 UTC)
    • Forecast: -0.7%, Previous: -0.4%.
    • A larger-than-expected decline may indicate slowing business investment.
  2. JOLTS Job Openings (Dec)(15:00 UTC)
    • Forecast: 7.880M, Previous: 8.098M.
    • A drop in job openings suggests labor market softening, potentially influencing Fed policy expectations.
  3. FOMC Member Bostic Speaks(16:00 UTC)
    • Market participants will look for hints on rate policy.
  4. FOMC Member Daly Speaks(18:15 UTC)
    • Similar to Bostic, any commentary on inflation or employment trends will be closely monitored.
  5. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock(21:30 UTC)
    • Previous: 2.860M.
    • A sharp inventory increase could pressure oil prices lower.

Market Impact Analysis

  • JPY: Bond auction results may affect Japanese yields and yen strength.
  • USD: JOLTS data and factory orders will impact Fed rate expectations.
  • Oil Prices: API crude stock data could drive short-term volatility in energy markets.

Volatility & Impact Score

  • Volatility: Moderate (JOLTS and oil stock data are key events).
  • Impact Score: 6/10 – Labor market trends and oil inventories may move the markets.