Upcoming economic events 30 April 2025

Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Importance	Event	Forecast	Previous
01:30		2 points	CPI (YoY) (Q1)	2.3%	2.4%
01:30		2 points	CPI (QoQ) (Q1)	0.8%	0.2%
01:30		2 points	Trimmed Mean CPI (QoQ) (Q1)	0.6%	0.5%
01:30		2 points	Chinese Composite PMI (Apr)	———-	51.4
01:30		2 points	Manufacturing PMI (Apr)	49.7	50.5
01:30		3 points	Non-Manufacturing PMI (Apr)	50.6	50.8
01:45		2 points	Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Apr)	49.8	51.2
09:00		2 points	GDP (QoQ) (Q1)	0.2%	0.2%
09:00		2 points	GDP (YoY) (Q1)	1.0%	1.2%
12:15		3 points	ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Apr)	123K	155K
12:30		2 points	Core PCE Prices (Q1)	———-	2.60%
12:30		2 points	Employment Cost Index (QoQ) (Q1)	0.9%	0.9%
12:30		3 points	GDP (QoQ) (Q1)	0.4%	2.4%
12:30		2 points	GDP Price Index (QoQ) (Q1)	3.0%	2.3%
13:45		3 points	Chicago PMI (Apr)	45.9	47.6
14:00		3 points	Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Mar)	0.1%	0.4%
14:00		3 points	Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Mar)	2.6%	2.8%
14:00		2 points	PCE Price index (YoY) (Mar)	2.2%	2.5%
14:00		2 points	PCE price index (MoM) (Mar)	0.0%	0.3%
14:00		2 points	Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Mar)	0.9%	2.0%
14:00		2 points	Personal Spending (MoM) (Mar)	0.6%	0.4%
14:30		3 points	Crude Oil Inventories	———-	0.244M
14:30		2 points	Cushing Crude Oil Inventories	———-	0.086M
17:00		2 points	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2)	———-	———-

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on April 29, 2025

Australia (🇦🇺)

1. RBA Assistant Governor Kent Speaks – 02:05 UTC
   • Market Impact:
     • Comments could affect the Australian dollar (AUD), especially if he discusses interest rates, inflation, or the economic outlook.
     • Hawkish remarks could strengthen AUD, while dovish signals could weaken it.

United States (🇺🇸)

2. Goods Trade Balance (Mar) – 12:30 UTC
   • Forecast: -143.70B
   • Previous: -147.85B
   • Market Impact:
     • A lower deficit than expected could support the USD, reflecting stronger exports or weaker imports.
3. Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Mar) – 12:30 UTC
   • Previous: 0.1%
   • Market Impact:
     • A key indicator for Q1 GDP adjustments; surprises could shift growth expectations.
4. S&P/CS HPI Composite-20 n.s.a. (MoM/YoY) (Feb) – 13:00 UTC
   • YoY Forecast: 4.6% | Previous: 4.7%
   • Market Impact:
     • Housing price growth data can impact housing-related stocks and broader market sentiment.
5. CB Consumer Confidence (Apr) – 14:00 UTC
   • Forecast: 87.4
   • Previous: 92.9
   • Market Impact:
     • Lower confidence may weigh on USD and equities; higher-than-expected numbers would be supportive.
6. JOLTS Job Openings (Mar) – 14:00 UTC
   • Forecast: 7.480M
   • Previous: 7.568M
   • Market Impact:
     • A decline in job openings signals a slower labor market, potentially easing pressure on the Fed to maintain high rates.
7. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1) – 14:30 UTC
   • Forecast: -2.5%
   • Previous: -2.5%
   • Market Impact:
     • An unchanged or worsening forecast could pressure equities and weaken the USD.
8. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock – 20:30 UTC
   • Previous: -4.565M
   • Market Impact:
     • Further inventory declines could support oil prices, while a build would pressure crude lower.

Japan (🇯🇵)

9. Industrial Production (MoM) (Mar) – 23:50 UTC
   • Forecast: -0.5%
   • Previous: 2.3%
   • Market Impact:
     • A negative result could weaken JPY slightly, signaling slower industrial activity.

Market Impact Analysis

• USD: Driven by consumer confidence, JOLTS job data, and GDPNow updates.
• AUD: Sensitive to RBA guidance from Kent’s speech.
• Oil: Watch for API crude stock changes to guide oil price volatility.
• JPY: Modest influence from industrial output numbers.

Overall Impact Score: 6/10

Key Focus:

• U.S. consumer sentiment, labor market strength, and trade dynamics.
• RBA commentary affecting the Australian dollar.
• Crude oil inventories shaping commodity markets.