Upcoming economic events 27 February 2025

Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Importance	Event	Forecast	Previous
00:30		2 points	Private New Capital Expenditure (QoQ) (Q4)	0.6%	1.1%
12:30		2 points	ECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy Meeting	———-	———-
13:30		2 points	Continuing Jobless Claims	———-	1,869K
13:30		2 points	Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Jan)	0.4%	0.3%
13:30		2 points	Core PCE Prices (Q4)	2.50%	2.50%
13:30		3 points	Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Jan)	2.0%	-2.2%
13:30		3 points	GDP (QoQ) (Q4)	2.3%	3.1%
13:30		2 points	GDP Price Index (QoQ) (Q4)	2.2%	1.9%
13:30		3 points	Initial Jobless Claims	220K	219K
15:00		2 points	Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks	———-	———-
15:00		2 points	Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Jan)	-1.3%	-5.5%
16:45		2 points	FOMC Member Bowman Speaks	———-	———-
20:15		2 points	FOMC Member Harker Speaks	———-	———-
21:30		2 points	Fed’s Balance Sheet	———-	6,782B
23:30		2 points	Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) (Feb)	2.3%	2.5%
23:50		2 points	Industrial Production (MoM) (Jan)	-0.9%	-0.2%

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on February 27, 2025

Australia (🇦🇺)

1. Private New Capital Expenditure (QoQ) (Q4) (00:30 UTC)
   • Forecast: 0.6%
   • Previous: 1.1%
   • Measures business investment. A weaker reading may signal slowing corporate spending, potentially impacting the AUD.

Eurozone (🇪🇺)

2. ECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy Meeting (12:30 UTC)
   • Investors will analyze ECB’s stance on inflation, interest rates, and future monetary policy. Could impact the EUR and European bond markets.

United States (🇺🇸)

3. Continuing Jobless Claims (13:30 UTC)
   • Previous: 1.869M
   • Tracks ongoing unemployment claims. A lower reading signals a stronger labor market, which could support the USD.
4. Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Jan) (13:30 UTC)
   • Forecast: 0.4%
   • Previous: 0.3%
   • A key indicator of business spending. A rise could signal economic resilience.
5. Core PCE Prices (Q4) (13:30 UTC)
   • Forecast: 2.50%
   • Previous: 2.50%
   • The Fed’s preferred inflation measure. Stable inflation may reduce rate hike expectations.
6. Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Jan) (13:30 UTC)
   • Forecast: 2.0%
   • Previous: -2.2%
   • Indicates manufacturing sector health. A rebound may boost the USD and equities.
7. GDP (QoQ) (Q4) (13:30 UTC)
   • Forecast: 2.3%
   • Previous: 3.1%
   • A slowdown could weigh on the USD and stock markets.
8. GDP Price Index (QoQ) (Q4) (13:30 UTC)
   • Forecast: 2.2%
   • Previous: 1.9%
   • Measures inflation in GDP. Higher numbers could pressure the Fed to maintain higher interest rates.
9. Initial Jobless Claims (13:30 UTC)
   • Forecast: 220K
   • Previous: 219K
   • A closely watched labor market indicator. Lower claims may support the USD.
10. Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Jan) (15:00 UTC)

• Forecast: -1.3%
• Previous: -5.5%
• Signals housing market demand. Further declines could indicate a cooling real estate sector.

11. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks (15:00 UTC)

• May provide insight into regulatory policies affecting financial markets.

12. FOMC Member Bowman Speaks (16:45 UTC)

• Markets will listen for comments on inflation and interest rate policy.

13. FOMC Member Harker Speaks (20:15 UTC)

• Potential policy signals on interest rates and economic conditions.

14. Fed’s Balance Sheet (21:30 UTC)

• Previous: $6.782T
• Reflects Fed’s monetary policy actions. Shrinking balance sheet suggests ongoing tightening.

Japan (🇯🇵)

15. Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) (Feb) (23:30 UTC)

• Forecast: 2.3%
• Previous: 2.5%
• A key leading indicator for Japan’s inflation trend.

16. Industrial Production (MoM) (Jan) (23:50 UTC)

• Forecast: -0.9%
• Previous: -0.2%
• Declining output could weigh on the JPY and Japan’s stock market.

Market Impact Analysis

• AUD: Weak investment data could pressure the AUD.
• EUR: ECB minutes may impact interest rate expectations.
• USD: GDP, inflation, and labor data will drive currency and stock market sentiment.
• JPY: CPI and industrial production will shape Bank of Japan policy expectations.

Volatility & Impact Score

• Volatility: High (GDP, inflation data, and central bank communications).
• Impact Score: 8/10 – Significant data on GDP, inflation, and monetary policy could cause sharp market moves.