Thomas Daniels

Published On: 21/07/2025
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By Published On: 21/07/2025
Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)StateImportanceEventForecastPrevious
01:30🇦🇺2 pointsRBA Meeting Minutes———-———-
12:30🇺🇸2 pointsFed Chair Powell Speaks———-———-
17:00🇺🇸2 pointsFOMC Member Bowman Speaks———-———-
17:00🇪🇺2 pointsECB President Lagarde Speaks———-———-
20:30🇺🇸2 pointsAPI Weekly Crude Oil Stock———-19.100M

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on July 22, 2025

Asia-Pacific – Australia

RBA Meeting Minutes – 01:30 UTC

  • Impact: Offers clarity on the recent rate decision’s deliberations and any forward guidance shifts. Hawkish tones could support AUD, while dovish leanings may pressure it.

United States – Fed Commentary & Energy Data

Fed Chair Powell Speaks – 12:30 UTC

  • Impact: The most influential event of the day—Powell’s remarks, tone, and stance on inflation or rate changes could provoke sharp moves in USD, Treasuries, and global markets.

FOMC Member Bowman Speaks – 17:00 UTC

  • Impact: Additional insights into FOMC deliberations; reinforcement of Powell’s tone may reaffirm market expectations.

API Weekly Crude Oil Stock – 20:30 UTC

  • Forecast: +19.1M barrels (build)
  • Impact: A large build could significantly weigh on oil prices, influencing energy stocks and inflation expectations.

Europe – ECB Insight

ECB President Lagarde Speaks – 17:00 UTC

Impact: Following Fed commentary, Lagarde’s tone will be key for EUR and European yields. Dovish tone may erode eurozone assets; hawkish tone may counter USD moves.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Powell’s speech is the day’s focal point; markets will recalibrate policy expectations based on his tone.
  • Lagarde’s response will be important in defining EUR direction within a global central bank narrative.
  • RBA minutes offer additional texture to AUD positioning.
  • Oil inventory data could shift late-day inflation and commodity-sentiment dynamics.

Overall Impact Score: 8.5 / 10

Key Watchpoints

  • Powell’s remarks: Hawkish vs. dovish signals are critical for global markets.
  • Lagarde’s tone: May validate or contradict market expectations for ECB stance.
  • RBA minutes: Helpful for AUD but secondary to global central bank commentary.
  • Oil build: If confirmed, could drag on energy prices and risk assets late in the session.

Let me know if you’d like a scenario breakdown or comparative outlook across key central banks.