Jeremy Oles
| Time(GMT+0/UTC+0) | State | Importance | Event | Forecast | Previous |
| 02:00 |  | 2 points | Fixed Asset Investment (YoY) (Apr) | ———- | 4.2% |
| 02:00 | | 2 points | Industrial Production (YoY) (Apr) | ———- | 7.7% |
| 02:00 | | 2 points | Chinese Industrial Production YTD (YoY) (Apr) | ———- | 6.5% |
| 02:00 | | 2 points | Chinese Unemployment Rate (Apr) | ———- | 5.2% |
| 09:00 |  | 2 points | Core CPI (YoY) (Apr) | ———- | 2.7% |
| 09:00 | | 2 points | CPI (MoM) (Apr) | ———- | 0.6% |
| 09:00 | | 3 points | CPI (YoY) (Apr) | ———- | 2.2% |
| 14:00 |  | 2 points | US Leading Index (MoM) (Apr) | ———- | -0.7% |
Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on May 19, 2025
China (🇨🇳)
Fixed Asset Investment (YoY) (Apr) – 02:00 UTC
Previous: 4.2%
Industrial Production (YoY) (Apr) – 02:00 UTC
Previous: 7.7%
Industrial Production YTD (YoY) (Apr) – 02:00 UTC
Previous: 6.5%
Unemployment Rate (Apr) – 02:00 UTC
Previous: 5.2%
Market Impact:
Slower industrial production growth or weak investment could raise concerns about China’s post-pandemic recovery. Markets may respond with risk-off sentiment, potentially pressuring commodity prices and regional equities.
Eurozone (🇪🇺)
Core CPI (YoY) (Apr) – 09:00 UTC
Previous: 2.7%
CPI (MoM) (Apr) – 09:00 UTC
Previous: 0.6%
CPI (YoY) (Apr) – 09:00 UTC
Previous: 2.2%
Market Impact:
Stable or declining inflation readings would reinforce the European Central Bank’s dovish outlook, likely weighing on the euro. A surprise uptick could spark speculation about tightening.
United States (🇺🇸)
US Leading Index (MoM) (Apr) – 14:00 UTC
Previous: -0.7%
Market Impact:
Continued negative readings in the leading index may signal increasing recession risks, potentially dampening investor sentiment and strengthening safe-haven demand.
Overall Market Impact Analysis
- Risk Sentiment: Chinese data will be critical in shaping Asia-Pacific and global risk appetite at the week’s start.
- Inflation Trends: Eurozone CPI will guide expectations for ECB monetary policy.
- Recession Watch: The U.S. leading index may influence bond yields and equity momentum.
Overall Impact Score: 6/10
Key Focus: China’s industrial and investment metrics, Eurozone inflation trajectory, and U.S. macro sentiment indicators.
