Upcoming economic events 19 August  2025

Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Importance	Event	Forecast	Previous
12:30		2 points	Building Permits (Jul)	1.390M	1.393M
12:30		2 points	Housing Starts (Jul)	1.290M	1.321M
12:30		2 points	Housing Starts (MoM) (Jul)	———-	4.6%
15:30		2 points	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)	2.5%	2.5%
18:10		2 points	FOMC Member Bowman Speaks	———-	———-
20:30		2 points	API Weekly Crude Oil Stock	———-	1.500M
23:50		2 points	Adjusted Trade Balance	-0.08T	-0.24T
23:50		2 points	Exports (YoY) (Jul)	-2.1%	-0.5%
23:50		2 points	Trade Balance (Jul)	196.2B	152.1B

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on August 19, 2025

United States – Housing & Growth Indicators

Building Permits (Jul) – 12:30 UTC

• Forecast: 1.390M (Prev. 1.393M)
• Impact: Stable figures suggest housing activity is holding but not accelerating. Weak permits could weigh on construction-related equities and signal slowing investment.

Housing Starts (Jul) – 12:30 UTC

• Forecast: 1.290M (Prev. 1.321M, MoM +4.6%)
• Impact: A decline would highlight cooling housing momentum, impacting growth outlook. A stronger-than-expected print would support USD and risk sentiment.

Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) – 15:30 UTC

• Forecast: 2.5% (same as prior)
• Impact: Confirms steady but moderate growth expectations. A downward revision would increase speculation on Fed easing.

FOMC Member Bowman Speaks – 18:10 UTC

• Impact: Policy tone (hawkish vs dovish) could shift USD and bond yields.

API Weekly Crude Oil Stock – 20:30 UTC

• Prev.: +1.500M
• Impact: Inventory trends drive oil volatility; another build pressures crude prices, while a draw supports oil-linked assets.

Japan – Trade & Export Data

Adjusted Trade Balance (Jul) – 23:50 UTC

• Forecast: –0.08T (Prev. –0.24T)
• Impact: An improved balance suggests narrowing deficits, supporting JPY stability.

Exports (YoY, Jul) – 23:50 UTC

• Forecast: –2.1% (Prev. –0.5%)
• Impact: A deeper contraction in exports signals weaker global demand, weighing on JPY and Nikkei.

Trade Balance (Jul) – 23:50 UTC

• Forecast: ¥196.2B (Prev. ¥152.1B)
• Impact: Surplus increase may offer short-term JPY support, but underlying export weakness could cap gains.

Market Impact Analysis

• U.S.: Housing and GDPNow data will shape growth sentiment. If housing weakens while growth projections hold, equities may struggle while bonds gain.
• Japan: Trade data will highlight the impact of global demand on Japan’s economy. A larger surplus may help JPY, but falling exports suggest medium-term weakness.
• Oil: API stock data could trigger late-session commodity volatility, influencing energy equities and inflation outlook.

Overall Impact Score: 6/10

• U.S. housing and GDP updates provide directional cues for risk assets.
• Japanese trade data adds FX volatility risk, especially for JPY crosses.
• Oil inventories may drive commodity-linked moves late in the day.