Upcoming economic events 18 February 2025

Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Importance	Event	Forecast	Previous
03:30		3 points	RBA Interest Rate Decision (Feb)	4.10%	4.35%
03:30		2 points	RBA Monetary Policy Statement	———-	———-
03:30		2 points	RBA Rate Statement	———-	———-
10:00		2 points	Eurogroup Meetings	———-	———-
10:00		2 points	ZEW Economic Sentiment (Feb)	24.3	18.0
13:30		2 points	NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Feb)	-1.10	-12.60
15:20		2 points	FOMC Member Daly Speaks	———-	———-
18:00		2 points	Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks	———-	———-
Tentative		3 points	U.S. President Trump Speaks	———-	———-
21:00		2 points	TIC Net Long-Term Transactions (Dec)	149.1B	79.0B
21:45		2 points	PPI Input (QoQ) (Q4)	———-	1.9%
23:50		2 points	Adjusted Trade Balance	-0.26T	-0.03T
23:50		2 points	Exports (YoY) (Jan)	7.9%	2.8%
23:50		2 points	Trade Balance (Jan)	-2,104.0B	130.9B

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on February 18, 2025

Australia (🇦🇺)

1. RBA Interest Rate Decision (Feb) (03:30 UTC)
   • Forecast: 4.10%, Previous: 4.35%
   • A rate cut could weaken the AUD, while a pause might support it.
2. RBA Monetary Policy Statement (03:30 UTC)
   • Provides insights into the central bank’s future rate path.
3. RBA Rate Statement (03:30 UTC)
   • Accompanies the rate decision and can impact market sentiment.

Europe (🇪🇺)

4. Eurogroup Meetings (10:00 UTC)
   • Discussions among Eurozone finance ministers; market-moving if policy shifts emerge.
5. ZEW Economic Sentiment (Feb) (10:00 UTC)
   • Forecast: 24.3, Previous: 18.0
   • Higher sentiment suggests optimism, potentially supporting the euro.

United States (🇺🇸)

6. NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Feb) (13:30 UTC)
   • Forecast: -1.10, Previous: -12.60
   • A less negative reading suggests improving business conditions.
7. FOMC Member Daly Speaks (15:20 UTC)
   • Could provide insight into Fed policy direction.
8. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks (18:00 UTC)
   • Likely to discuss banking regulation and financial stability.
9. U.S. President Trump Speaks (Tentative)
   • Potentially market-moving depending on policy announcements.
10. TIC Net Long-Term Transactions (Dec) (21:00 UTC)

• Forecast: 149.1B, Previous: 79.0B
• A higher figure suggests strong foreign demand for U.S. assets, supporting the USD.

New Zealand (🇳🇿)

11. PPI Input (QoQ) (Q4) (21:45 UTC)

• Previous: 1.9%
• Rising input costs could signal inflationary pressure, influencing RBNZ policy.

Japan (🇯🇵)

12. Adjusted Trade Balance (23:50 UTC)

• Forecast: -0.26T, Previous: -0.03T
• A larger deficit could pressure the yen.

13. Exports (YoY) (Jan) (23:50 UTC)

• Forecast: 7.9%, Previous: 2.8%
• Stronger exports could support JPY.

14. Trade Balance (Jan) (23:50 UTC)

• Forecast: -2,104.0B, Previous: 130.9B
• A large deficit could weaken JPY.

Market Impact Analysis

• AUD: Likely high volatility around RBA decision; a rate cut could weaken AUD.
• EUR: Higher ZEW sentiment and Eurogroup discussions could influence the euro.
• USD: Fed speakers, Trump’s speech, and TIC data could drive movement.
• JPY: Trade balance and export data may impact JPY strength.

Volatility & Impact Score

• Volatility: High (RBA decision, Fed speakers, and U.S. political events).
• Impact Score: 7/10 – Key central bank decisions and policy talks could move markets.