Jeremy Oles
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| Time(GMT+0/UTC+0) | State | Importance | Event | Forecast | Previous |
| 02:00 |  | 2 points | Fixed Asset Investment (YoY) (Feb) | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| 02:00 | | 2 points | Industrial Production (YoY) (Feb) | 5.3% | 6.2% |
| 02:00 | | 2 points | Chinese Industrial Production YTD (YoY) (Feb) | ———- | 5.8% |
| 02:00 | | 2 points | Chinese Unemployment Rate (Feb) | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| 02:00 | | 2 points | NBS Press Conference | ———- | ———- |
| 12:30 |  | 2 points | Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb) | 0.3% | -0.4% |
| 12:30 | | 2 points | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Mar) | -1.90 | 5.70 |
| 12:30 | | 2 points | Retail Control (MoM) (Feb) | ———- | -0.8% |
| 12:30 | | 2 points | Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb) | 0.6% | -0.9% |
| 14:00 | | 2 points | Business Inventories (MoM) (Jan) | 0.3% | -0.2% |
| 14:00 | | 2 points | Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Jan) | 0.4% | -0.1% |
| 14:00 |  | 2 points | ECB President Lagarde Speaks | ———- | ———- |
| 18:00 | | 2 points | Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1) | -2.4% | -2.4% |
Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on March 17, 2025
China (🇨🇳) – 02:00 UTC
- Fixed Asset Investment (YoY) (Feb)
- Forecast: 3.2%
- Previous: 3.2%
- Signals long-term investment trends, impacting CNY, commodities, & global risk sentiment.
- Industrial Production (YoY) (Feb)
- Forecast: 5.3%
- Previous: 6.2%
- Slower growth suggests weak manufacturing, weighing on global markets.
- Chinese Industrial Production YTD (YoY) (Feb)
- Previous: 5.8%
- A drop could pressure equities & commodities.
- Chinese Unemployment Rate (Feb)
- Forecast: 5.1%
- Previous: 5.1%
- Stable but could indicate labor market weakness.
- NBS Press Conference
- Will clarify policy direction, impacting CNY & global risk assets.
United States (🇺🇸)
- Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb) (12:30 UTC)
- Forecast: 0.3%
- Previous: -0.4%
- A rebound signals consumer resilience, bullish for USD & stocks.
- NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Mar) (12:30 UTC)
- Forecast: -1.90
- Previous: 5.70
- Negative print = contraction in manufacturing, bearish for USD & equities.
- Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb) (12:30 UTC)
- Forecast: 0.6%
- Previous: -0.9%
- A rise boosts market confidence, lifting stocks & USD.
- Business Inventories (MoM) (Jan) (14:00 UTC)
- Forecast: 0.3%
- Previous: -0.2%
- Higher inventories suggest slower demand, cautious for stocks.
- Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Jan) (14:00 UTC)
- Forecast: 0.4%
- Previous: -0.1%
- Higher inventories = slower consumer demand, affecting retail sector.
- ECB President Lagarde Speaks (14:00 UTC) (🇪🇺)
- May signal ECB’s rate outlook, impacting EUR & European bonds.
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1) (18:00 UTC)
- Previous: -2.4%
- A weak number could increase recession fears, impacting USD & stocks.
Market Impact Analysis
- CNY: Weak industrial production could pressure commodities.
- USD: Retail sales & GDPNow will drive Fed expectations.
- Equities: Mixed retail data & weak GDPNow = cautious trading.
- Volatility: Moderate, focus on China’s data & U.S. retail sales.
- Impact Score: 7/10 – Key focus on consumer spending & industrial data.
