Jeremy Oles

Published On: 15/09/2024
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Upcoming economic events 16 September 2024
By Published On: 15/09/2024
Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)StateImportanceEventForecastPrevious
08:10🇪🇺2 pointsECB’s De Guindos Speaks——————
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsWages in euro zone (YoY) (Q2)———5.30%
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsTrade Balance (Jul)14.9B22.3B
12:00🇪🇺2 pointsECB’s Lane Speaks——————
12:30🇺🇸2 pointsNY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep)-4.10-4.70

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on September 16, 2024

  1. ECB’s De Guindos Speaks (08:10 UTC): Remarks from ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos, potentially offering insights into the ECB’s economic outlook or monetary policy stance.
  2. Eurozone Wages (YoY) (Q2) (09:00 UTC): Year-over-year change in wages within the Eurozone. Previous: +5.30%.
  3. Eurozone Trade Balance (Jul) (09:00 UTC): The difference between exports and imports in the Eurozone. Forecast: €14.9B, Previous: €22.3B.
  4. ECB’s Lane Speaks (12:00 UTC): Remarks from Philip Lane, Chief Economist of the ECB, providing further insights into the Eurozone’s economic conditions and policy direction.
  5. US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep) (12:30 UTC): Measures the health of the manufacturing sector in New York State. Forecast: -4.10, Previous: -4.70.

Market Impact Analysis

  • ECB Speeches (De Guindos, Lane): Comments from key ECB officials could influence market expectations for future monetary policy. Hawkish remarks may support EUR, while dovish signals could weaken it.
  • Eurozone Wages (YoY): Rising wages indicate inflationary pressure, which could influence ECB policy and affect EUR. A slowdown in wage growth may ease inflation concerns.
  • Eurozone Trade Balance: A smaller trade surplus suggests weaker export performance or higher imports, which could weigh on EUR. A larger surplus supports the currency, indicating strong external demand.
  • US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index: A negative reading signals contraction in the manufacturing sector, which could weaken USD and suggest slower economic activity. An improvement would support USD by indicating manufacturing recovery.

Overall Impact

  • Volatility: Moderate, with potential movements in EUR based on ECB comments and economic data, as well as USD influenced by manufacturing data.
  • Impact Score: 6/10, indicating moderate potential for market movements.