Jeremy Oles
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| Time(GMT+0/UTC+0) | State | Importance | Event | | Previous |
| 09:00 |  | 2 points | Trade Balance (May) | ———- | 9.9B |
| 12:30 |  | 2 points | Core PPI (MoM) (Jun) | ———- | 0.1% |
| 12:30 | | 3 points | PPI (MoM) (Jun) | ———- | 0.1% |
| 13:15 | | 2 points | Industrial Production (YoY) (Jun) | ———- | 0.60% |
| 13:15 | | 2 points | Industrial Production (MoM) (Jun) | ———- | -0.2% |
| 23:50 |  | 2 points | Exports (YoY) (Jun) | ———- | -1.7% |
| 23:50 | | 2 points | Trade Balance (Jun) | ———- | -638.6B |
Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on July 16, 2025
Europe – Eurozone Trade Data
Trade Balance (May) – 09:00 UTC
- Previous: €9.9B
- Impact: A strong surplus supports EUR; a decline could raise concerns about external demand and put pressure on the currency.
United States – Producer Prices & Industrial Activity
Core PPI (MoM, Jun) – 12:30 UTC
- Expected: 0.1%
- Impact: A low-core reading helps support the view of easing inflation pressures; dovish for bond yields.
PPI (MoM, Jun) – 12:30 UTC
- Expected: 0.1%
- Impact: If PPI matches expectations, it reinforces subdued inflation trends and may support soft-landing expectations.
Industrial Production (YoY, Jun) – 13:15 UTC
- Expected: 0.60%
- Impact: Suggests modest manufacturing expansion; supportive for industrial stocks and GDP growth outlook.
Industrial Production (MoM, Jun) – 13:15 UTC
- Expected: –0.2%
- Impact: A monthly contraction could signal slowing momentum and weigh on cyclical equity sectors.
Asia – Japan Trade Performance
Exports (YoY, Jun) – 23:50 UTC
- Expected: –1.7%
- Impact: Continued export decline reflects weak global demand; a surprise rebound could support JPY and export-centric equities.
Trade Balance (Jun) – 23:50 UTC
- Expected: –¥638.6B
- Impact: A large deficit may pressure JPY and raise questions about Japan’s external sector, potentially prompting BoJ attention.
Market Impact Analysis
- U.S. PPI and industrial data will guide inflation and growth outlook, influencing Treasury yields, USD, and cyclical stocks.
- Eurozone trade strength may provide modest support to EUR, though overshadowed by upcoming ECB commentary.
- Japan’s export and trade balance data act as late-session sentiment drivers for JPY.
- Overall, the U.S. data set offers the clearest market-moving potential.
Overall Impact Score: 7.5 / 10
Key Watchpoints:
- PPI prints—if hot, may reset inflation expectations; if soft, bolster case for rate pause/easing.
- Industrial Production monthly miss would highlight U.S. growth risks.
- Japanese trade surprise—strength here could be a surprise catalyst for JPY and export-linked assets.
