Jeremy Oles

Published On: 14/05/2025
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Upcoming economic events 15 May 2025
By Published On: 14/05/2025
Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)StateImportanceEventForecastPrevious
01:30🇦🇺2 pointsEmployment Change (Apr)20.9K32.2K
01:30🇦🇺2 pointsFull Employment Change (Apr)———-15.0K
01:30🇦🇺2 pointsUnemployment Rate (Apr)4.1%4.1%
07:50🇪🇺2 pointsECB’s Elderson Speaks———-———-
08:00🇺🇸2 pointsIEA Monthly Report———-———-
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsEU Economic Forecasts———-———-
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsGDP (QoQ) (Q1)0.4%0.2%
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsGDP (YoY) (Q1)1.2%1.2%
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsIndustrial Production (MoM) (Mar)1.7%1.1%
10:15🇪🇺2 pointsECB’s De Guindos Speaks———-———-
12:30🇺🇸2 pointsContinuing Jobless Claims1,890K1,879K
12:30🇺🇸2 pointsCore PPI (MoM) (Apr)0.3%-0.1%
12:30🇺🇸3 pointsCore Retail Sales (MoM) (Apr)0.3%0.5%
12:30🇺🇸3 pointsInitial Jobless Claims229K228K
12:30🇺🇸2 pointsNY Empire State Manufacturing Index (May)-7.90-8.10
12:30🇺🇸3 pointsPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (May)-9.9-26.4
12:30🇺🇸2 pointsPhilly Fed Employment (May)———-0.2
12:30🇺🇸3 pointsPPI (MoM) (Apr)0.2%-0.4%
12:30🇺🇸2 pointsRetail Control (MoM) (Apr)0.3%0.4%
12:30🇺🇸3 pointsRetail Sales (MoM) (Apr)0.0%1.4%
12:40🇺🇸3 pointsFed Chair Powell Speaks———-———-
13:15🇺🇸2 pointsIndustrial Production (MoM) (Apr)0.2%-0.3%
13:15🇺🇸2 pointsIndustrial Production (YoY) (Apr)———-1.34%
14:00🇺🇸2 pointsBusiness Inventories (MoM) (Mar)0.2%0.2%
14:00🇺🇸2 pointsRetail Inventories Ex Auto (Mar)0.4%0.1%
17:00🇺🇸2 pointsAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2) 2.3%2.3%
18:05🇺🇸2 pointsFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speaks———-———-
20:30🇺🇸2 pointsFed’s Balance Sheet———-6,711B
22:30🇳🇿2 pointsBusiness NZ PMI (Apr)———-53.2
23:50🇯🇵2 pointsGDP (YoY) (Q1)-0.2%2.2%
23:50🇯🇵3 pointsGDP (QoQ) (Q1)-0.1%0.6%
23:50🇯🇵2 pointsGDP Price Index (YoY) (Q1)3.2%2.9%

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on May 15, 2025

Australia (🇦🇺)

Employment Change (Apr) – 01:30 UTC

  • Forecast: 20.9K | Previous: 32.2K
    Full Employment Change (Apr) – 01:30 UTC
  • Previous: 15.0K
    Unemployment Rate (Apr) – 01:30 UTC
  • Forecast: 4.1% | Previous: 4.1%

Market Impact:

  • Stable labor data would support a neutral RBA stance.
  • A surprise in unemployment or job creation could shift AUD sentiment.

Eurozone (🇪🇺)

ECB’s Elderson Speaks – 07:50 UTC
EU Economic Forecasts – 09:00 UTC
GDP (QoQ) (Q1) – 09:00 UTC

  • Forecast: 0.4% | Previous: 0.2%
    GDP (YoY) (Q1) – 09:00 UTC
  • Forecast: 1.2% | Previous: 1.2%
    Industrial Production (MoM) (Mar) – 09:00 UTC
  • Forecast: 1.7% | Previous: 1.1%
    ECB’s De Guindos Speaks – 10:15 UTC

Market Impact:

  • A strong GDP and production print would support euro strength.
  • ECB commentary could guide expectations for June’s meeting.

United States (🇺🇸)

Continuing Jobless Claims – 12:30 UTC

  • Forecast: 1,890K | Previous: 1,879K
    Core PPI (MoM) (Apr) – 12:30 UTC
  • Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.1%
    Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Apr) – 12:30 UTC
  • Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.5%
    Initial Jobless Claims – 12:30 UTC
  • Forecast: 229K | Previous: 228K
    NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (May) – 12:30 UTC
  • Forecast: -7.90 | Previous: -8.10
    Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (May) – 12:30 UTC
  • Forecast: -9.9 | Previous: -26.4
    Philly Fed Employment (May) – 12:30 UTC
  • Previous: 0.2
    PPI (MoM) (Apr) – 12:30 UTC
  • Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.4%
    Retail Control (MoM) (Apr) – 12:30 UTC
  • Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.4%
    Retail Sales (MoM) (Apr) – 12:30 UTC
  • Forecast: 0.0% | Previous: 1.4%
    Fed Chair Powell Speaks – 12:40 UTC
    Industrial Production (MoM) (Apr) – 13:15 UTC
  • Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.3%
    Business Inventories (MoM) (Mar) – 14:00 UTC
  • Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: 0.2%
    Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Mar) – 14:00 UTC
  • Forecast: 0.4% | Previous: 0.1%
    Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2) – 17:00 UTC
  • Forecast: 2.3% | Previous: 2.3%
    Fed Vice Chair Barr & Fed Chair Powell Speak – Throughout the Day
    Fed’s Balance Sheet – 20:30 UTC
  • Previous: $6,711B

Market Impact:

  • Broad-based inflation and retail data set the tone for Fed rate path.
  • Powell’s speech is pivotal for policy trajectory; markets are highly sensitive to hawkish/dovish shifts.

New Zealand (🇳🇿)

Business NZ PMI (Apr) – 22:30 UTC

  • Previous: 53.2

Market Impact:

  • Above 50 supports NZD through manufacturing strength; below 50 may trigger rate cut bets.

Japan (🇯🇵)

GDP (YoY) (Q1) – 23:50 UTC

  • Forecast: -0.2% | Previous: 2.2%
    GDP (QoQ) (Q1) – 23:50 UTC
  • Forecast: -0.1% | Previous: 0.6%
    GDP Price Index (YoY) (Q1) – 23:50 UTC
  • Forecast: 3.2% | Previous: 2.9%

Market Impact:

  • Contraction signals potential for BOJ easing or delayed normalization.

Overall Market Impact Score: 7/10

Key Focus:
U.S. retail and inflation data, Powell’s speech, and Japan GDP will drive global market sentiment.