Upcoming economic events 14 February 2025

Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Importance	Event	Forecast	Previous
10:00		2 points	GDP (QoQ) (Q4)	0.0%	0.0%
10:00		2 points	GDP (YoY) (Q4)	0.9%	0.9%
13:30		3 points	Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Jan)	0.3%	0.4%
13:30		2 points	Export Price Index (MoM) (Jan)	———-	0.3%
13:30		2 points	Import Price Index (MoM) (Jan)	0.5%	0.1%
13:30		2 points	Retail Control (MoM) (Jan)	———-	0.7%
13:30		3 points	Retail Sales (MoM) (Jan)	0.0%	0.4%
14:15		2 points	Industrial Production (MoM) (Jan)	0.3%	0.9%
14:15		2 points	Industrial Production (YoY) (Jan)	———-	0.55%
15:00		2 points	Business Inventories (MoM) (Dec)	0.1%	0.1%
15:00		2 points	Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Dec)	0.2%	0.2%
18:00		2 points	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1)	2.9%	2.9%
18:00		2 points	U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count	———-	480
18:00		2 points	U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count	———-	586
20:30		2 points	CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions	———-	230.3K
20:30		2 points	CFTC Gold speculative net positions	———-	302.5K
20:30		2 points	CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions	———-	19.0K
20:30		2 points	CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions	———-	-4.8K
20:30		2 points	CFTC AUD speculative net positions	———-	-75.3K
20:30		2 points	CFTC JPY speculative net positions	———-	18.8K
20:30		2 points	CFTC EUR speculative net positions	———-	-58.6K

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on February 14, 2025

Europe (🇪🇺)

1. GDP (QoQ) (Q4)(10:00 UTC)
   • Forecast: 0.0%, Previous: 0.0%.
   • No growth expected; stagnation could weaken the euro.
2. GDP (YoY) (Q4)(10:00 UTC)
   • Forecast: 0.9%, Previous: 0.9%.
   • Low growth may reinforce expectations of ECB easing.

United States (🇺🇸)

3. Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Jan)(13:30 UTC)
   • Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.4%.
   • Key consumer spending indicator; lower-than-expected growth could hurt USD.
4. Retail Sales (MoM) (Jan)(13:30 UTC)
   • Forecast: 0.0%, Previous: 0.4%.
   • A flat reading could indicate weakening consumer demand.
5. Export Price Index (MoM) (Jan)(13:30 UTC)
   • Previous: 0.3%.
6. Import Price Index (MoM) (Jan)(13:30 UTC)
   • Forecast: 0.5%, Previous: 0.1%.
   • Higher import prices may suggest inflation pressures.
7. Retail Control (MoM) (Jan)(13:30 UTC)
   • Previous: 0.7%.
8. Industrial Production (MoM) (Jan)(14:15 UTC)
   • Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.9%.
   • Slower growth may indicate economic cooling.
9. Industrial Production (YoY) (Jan)(14:15 UTC)
   • Previous: 0.55%.
10. Business Inventories (MoM) (Dec) (15:00 UTC)

• Forecast: 0.1%, Previous: 0.1%.

11. Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Dec) (15:00 UTC)

• Forecast: 0.2%, Previous: 0.2%.

12. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1) (18:00 UTC)

• Forecast: 2.9%, Previous: 2.9%.

13. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count & Total Rig Count (18:00 UTC)

• Previous: 480 & 586.

14. CFTC Speculative Positioning Reports (20:30 UTC)

• Key insights into market positioning in crude oil, gold, Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and FX pairs.

Market Impact Analysis

• USD: Retail sales and industrial production figures will be critical for market direction. Weak data could pressure the dollar.
• EUR: Flat GDP growth could reinforce ECB’s dovish stance.
• Commodities: Crude oil and gold positioning reports will indicate speculative trends.

Volatility & Impact Score

• Volatility: High (Retail sales and industrial production data could significantly impact markets).
• Impact Score: 7/10 – Economic growth and inflation indicators will influence central bank expectations.