Upcoming economic events 13 June 2025

Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Importance	Event	Forecast	Previous
04:30		2 points	Industrial Production (MoM) (Apr)	-0.9%	0.2%
09:00		2 points	Industrial Production (MoM) (Apr)	-1.6%	2.6%
09:00		2 points	Trade Balance (Apr)	18.2B	36.8B
14:00		2 points	Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Jun)	———-	6.6%
14:00		2 points	Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Jun)	———-	4.2%
14:00		2 points	Michigan Consumer Expectations (Jun)	———-	47.9
14:00		2 points	Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jun)	53.5	52.2
15:00		2 points	ECB’s Elderson Speaks	———-	———-
17:00		2 points	U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count	———-	442
17:00		2 points	U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count	———-	559
19:30		2 points	CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions	———-	168.0K
19:30		2 points	CFTC Gold speculative net positions	———-	187.9K
19:30		2 points	CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions	———-	14.7K
19:30		2 points	CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions	———-	-69.4K
19:30		2 points	CFTC AUD speculative net positions	———-	-63.2K
19:30		2 points	CFTC JPY speculative net positions	———-	151.1K
19:30		2 points	CFTC EUR speculative net positions	———-	82.8K

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on June 13, 2025

Japan

1. Industrial Production (MoM) (Apr) – 04:30 UTC

• Forecast: -0.9% | Previous: +0.2%
• Market Impact:
  • A decline would signal weakening manufacturing activity, potentially pressuring JPY and raising concerns over Japan’s economic momentum.
  • A surprise increase would support JPY and Japanese equities.

Eurozone

2. Industrial Production (MoM) (Apr) – 09:00 UTC

• Forecast: -1.6% | Previous: +2.6%
• Market Impact:
  • A sharp drop would highlight growing weakness in the Eurozone’s industrial sector, likely pressuring EUR and Eurozone stocks.
  • Better-than-expected results may provide temporary EUR support.

3. Trade Balance (Apr) – 09:00 UTC

• Forecast: €18.2B | Previous: €36.8B
• Market Impact:
  • A narrowing surplus may reflect weaker external demand, which can weigh on the euro.
  • A higher surplus could slightly boost EUR confidence.

4. ECB’s Elderson Speaks – 15:00 UTC

• Market Impact:
  • Any further remarks on inflation, growth, or policy outlook may influence EUR short-term direction.

United States

5. University of Michigan Preliminary Survey (Jun) – 14:00 UTC

• 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Previous): 6.6%
• 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Previous): 4.2%
• Consumer Expectations (Previous): 47.9
• Consumer Sentiment (Forecast): 53.5 | Previous: 52.2
• Market Impact:
  • Key U.S. inflation expectations component. A rise could spark renewed Fed policy caution, driving up yields and USD.
  • Falling expectations and higher sentiment would support risk assets and Fed rate cut hopes.

6. U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count – 17:00 UTC

• Previous Crude: 442 | Total: 559
• Market Impact:
  • Changes affect future oil supply expectations.
  • Falling rig counts typically support oil prices and inflation-sensitive assets.

7. CFTC Speculative Net Positions (Various Assets) – 19:30 UTC

• Includes Crude Oil, Gold, Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, AUD, JPY, EUR
• Market Impact:
  • Positioning shifts reflect investor sentiment and momentum.
  • Large shifts may trigger short-term price corrections in the respective asset classes.

Market Impact Analysis

• Focus will center on Eurozone industrial weakness and U.S. inflation expectations from the Michigan survey.
• CFTC positioning updates will show how traders are positioned after a volatile week, providing insight into possible weekend gap risks.
• Oil rig count and positioning will also impact energy markets and inflation sentiment.

Overall Impact Score: 7/10

Key Focus:
While not as data-heavy as earlier in the week, Michigan inflation expectations will be closely watched for signs of persistent inflation pressures that could influence Fed policy. Combined with Eurozone industrial weakness, these releases could drive moderate to high volatility in EUR, USD, commodities, bonds, and equities depending on surprises.