Upcoming economic events 13 February 2025

Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Importance	Event	Forecast	Previous
02:30		2 points	Inflation Expectations (QoQ) (Q1)	———-	2.1%
05:00		2 points	Home Loans (MoM)	———-	0.1%
09:00		2 points	IEA Monthly Report	———-	———-
09:00		2 points	ECB Economic Bulletin	———-	———-
10:00		2 points	New Loans (Jan)	770.0B	990.0B
10:00		2 points	EU Economic Forecasts	———-	———-
10:00		2 points	Industrial Production (MoM) (Dec)	-0.6%	0.2%
13:30		2 points	Continuing Jobless Claims	1,880K	1,886K
13:30		2 points	Core PPI (MoM) (Jan)	0.3%	0.0%
13:30		3 points	Initial Jobless Claims	217K	219K
13:30		3 points	PPI (MoM) (Jan)	0.3%	0.2%
18:00		3 points	30-Year Bond Auction	———-	4.913%
21:30		2 points	Fed’s Balance Sheet	———-	6,811B
21:30		2 points	Business NZ PMI (Jan)	———-	45.9

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on February 13, 2025

New Zealand (🇳🇿)

1. Inflation Expectations (QoQ) (Q1)(02:30 UTC)
   • Previous: 2.1%.
   • Higher inflation expectations could push the RBNZ toward a more hawkish stance, influencing the NZD.
2. Business NZ PMI (Jan)(21:30 UTC)
   • Previous: 45.9 (below 50, indicating contraction).
   • If the index remains weak, it may signal continued economic struggles.

Australia (🇦🇺)

3. Home Loans (MoM)(05:00 UTC)
   • Previous: 0.1%.
   • A decline could suggest lower consumer confidence and housing market slowdown.

China (🇨🇳)

4. New Loans (Jan)(10:00 UTC)
   • Previous: 990.0B.
   • A significant change in lending could impact global growth expectations.

Europe (🇪🇺)

5. ECB Economic Bulletin(09:00 UTC)
   • Provides insights into ECB’s economic outlook.
6. EU Economic Forecasts(10:00 UTC)
   • A weaker-than-expected forecast could weigh on the EUR.
7. Industrial Production (MoM) (Dec)(10:00 UTC)
   • Forecast: -0.6%, Previous: 0.2%.
   • A sharp decline may indicate an economic slowdown.

United States (🇺🇸)

8. IEA Monthly Report(09:00 UTC)
   • Key report for global energy markets.
9. Continuing Jobless Claims(13:30 UTC)
   • Forecast: 1,880K, Previous: 1,886K.
   • Consistent claims may indicate labor market stability.
10. Core PPI (MoM) (Jan) (13:30 UTC)

• Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.0%.
• A rise could suggest underlying inflation pressure.

11. PPI (MoM) (Jan) (13:30 UTC)

• Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.2%.
• Higher-than-expected numbers could affect Fed policy expectations.

12. Initial Jobless Claims (13:30 UTC)

• Forecast: 217K, Previous: 219K.
• Could influence market sentiment on the labor market.

13. 30-Year Bond Auction (18:00 UTC)

• Previous: 4.913%.
• Higher yields could strengthen the USD.

14. Fed’s Balance Sheet (21:30 UTC)

• Previous: 6,811B.
• Monitored for liquidity trends in financial markets.

Market Impact Analysis

• USD: PPI and jobless claims data could drive volatility, especially if inflation pressures persist.
• EUR: Weak industrial production or economic forecasts could weigh on the currency.
• NZD: Inflation expectations will shape RBNZ rate expectations.
• Oil Markets: IEA report may influence crude oil prices.

Volatility & Impact Score

• Volatility: Medium-High (PPI, Jobless Claims, and ECB Economic Bulletin are key market movers).
• Impact Score: 7/10 – Inflation and labor market data could impact central bank policy expectations.