Jeremy Oles

Published On: 12/08/2025
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By Published On: 12/08/2025
Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)StateImportanceEventForecastPrevious
01:30🇦🇺2 pointsHome Loans (MoM)———--2.5%
01:30🇦🇺2 pointsWage Price Index (QoQ) (Q2)0.8%0.9%
08:00🇺🇸2 pointsIEA Monthly Report———-———-
14:30🇺🇸3 pointsCrude Oil Inventories———--3.029M
14:30🇺🇸2 pointsCushing Crude Oil Inventories———-0.453M
17:30🇺🇸2 pointsFOMC Member Bostic Speaks———-———-

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on August 13, 2025

Asia-Pacific – Australia

Home Loans (MoM) – 01:30 UTC

  • Prev: –2.5%
  • Impact: An improvement would suggest stabilizing housing demand, potentially supporting AUD and related banking/real estate equities. A further decline would reinforce housing market weakness.

Wage Price Index (QoQ, Q2) – 01:30 UTC

  • Forecast: 0.8% (Prev. 0.9%)
  • Impact: Slower wage growth reduces inflationary pressure, increasing the likelihood of RBA policy easing; could weigh on AUD.

United States – Energy & Fed Commentary

IEA Monthly Report – 08:00 UTC

  • Impact: Oil market outlook revisions can move crude prices, energy stocks, and inflation expectations.

Crude Oil Inventories – 14:30 UTC

  • Prev: –3.029M
  • Impact: A continued drawdown would support crude prices and feed into higher inflation expectations, potentially lifting USD and energy equities.

Cushing Crude Oil Inventories – 14:30 UTC

  • Prev: 0.453M
  • Impact: Changes in Cushing storage levels can influence WTI futures spreads.

FOMC Member Bostic Speaks – 17:30 UTC

  • Impact: Bostic’s comments could shape near-term Fed rate expectations; any hawkish hints may support USD, while dovish remarks could lift equities.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Primary Driver: Oil market data (IEA report + inventory releases) will dominate commodity-linked currency and inflation sentiment.
  • Secondary Driver: Australian wage data—slightly weaker expectations point to reduced wage-driven inflation risk, adding downward pressure on AUD.
  • Tertiary Driver: Fed commentary may cause late-session swings in USD and U.S. Treasury yields.

Overall Impact Score: 7/10

  • Strong commodity influence, moderate monetary policy signals.