Upcoming economic events 12 August  2025

Time(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Importance	Event	Forecast	Previous
01:30		2 points	NAB Business Confidence (Jul)	———-	5
04:30		3 points	RBA Interest Rate Decision (Aug)	3.60%	3.85%
04:30		2 points	RBA Monetary Policy Statement	———-	———-
04:30		2 points	RBA Rate Statement	———-	———-
09:00		2 points	ZEW Economic Sentiment (Aug)	28.1	36.1
11:00		2 points	OPEC Monthly Report	———-	———-
12:30		3 points	Core CPI (MoM) (Jul)	0.3%	0.2%
12:30		2 points	Core CPI (YoY) (Jul)	3.0%	2.9%
12:30		3 points	CPI (YoY) (Jul)	2.8%	2.7%
12:30		3 points	CPI (MoM) (Jul)	0.2%	0.3%
16:00		2 points	EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook	———-	———-
16:00		2 points	WASDE Report	———-	———-
18:00		2 points	Federal Budget Balance (Jul)	———-	27.0B
20:30		2 points	API Weekly Crude Oil Stock	———-	-4.200M
22:45		2 points	Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul)	———-	0.5%

Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on August 12, 2025

Asia-Pacific – Australia

NAB Business Confidence (Jul) – 01:30 UTC

• Prev: 5
• Impact: A sharp improvement in business sentiment would support AUD and could hint at stronger economic momentum.

RBA Interest Rate Decision (Aug) – 04:30 UTC

• Forecast: 3.60% (Prev. 3.85%)
• Impact: A rate cut would signal a shift toward monetary easing, likely weakening AUD and supporting equity markets sensitive to lower borrowing costs.

RBA Monetary Policy Statement & Rate Statement – 04:30 UTC

• Impact: Tone will shape AUD trajectory; dovish language reinforces easing bias, while cautious optimism could limit currency downside.

Europe – Eurozone

ZEW Economic Sentiment (Aug) – 09:00 UTC

• Forecast: 28.1 (Prev. 36.1)
• Impact: Decline in sentiment may weigh on EUR and risk assets, signaling slower economic momentum in the region.

United States – Inflation & Energy

OPEC Monthly Report – 11:00 UTC

• Impact: Updates on supply forecasts can sway oil prices and energy-linked equities.

CPI & Core CPI (Jul) – 12:30 UTC

• Core CPI MoM: 0.3% (Prev. 0.2%)
• Core CPI YoY: 3.0% (Prev. 2.9%)
• CPI YoY: 2.8% (Prev. 2.7%)
• CPI MoM: 0.2% (Prev. 0.3%)
• Impact: Higher-than-expected readings would pressure the Fed to keep rates higher for longer, supporting USD but weighing on equities and bonds.

EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook – 16:00 UTC

• Impact: Market-sensitive oil and gas supply-demand projections.

WASDE Report – 16:00 UTC

• Impact: Agricultural market volatility; important for commodities like corn, wheat, and soybeans.

Federal Budget Balance (Jul) – 18:00 UTC

• Prev: $27.0B surplus
• Impact: Can influence Treasury issuance expectations and bond market yields.

API Weekly Crude Oil Stock – 20:30 UTC

• Prev: –4.200M
• Impact: Another draw supports oil prices and inflation expectations.

New Zealand

Electronic Card Retail Sales (Jul) – 22:45 UTC

• Prev: 0.5%
• Impact: A consumer spending gauge; higher growth supports NZD.

Market Impact Analysis

• Key Driver: U.S. CPI release will dominate the day—slightly higher forecasts suggest potential upside risk to inflation readings, which could shift Fed rate-cut expectations.
• Secondary Drivers: RBA’s rate decision and tone will guide AUD; oil market reports (OPEC, EIA, API) could fuel commodity price volatility.
• Risk Sentiment: Eurozone sentiment drop adds a mildly negative bias to EUR.

Overall Impact Score: 9/10

• Strong influence from U.S. inflation data on global markets.
• Energy market releases and RBA decision add cross-asset volatility potential.