
Time(GMT+0/UTC+0) | State | Importance | Event | Forecast | Previous |
00:30 | 2 points | Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb) | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
01:45 | 2 points | Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Mar) | 50.6 | 50.8 | |
03:30 | 3 points | RBA Interest Rate Decision (Apr) | 4.10% | 4.10% | |
03:30 | 2 points | RBA Rate Statement | ———- | ———- | |
08:00 | 2 points | HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Mar) | 48.7 | 47.6 | |
09:00 | 2 points | Core CPI (YoY) (Mar) | 2.5% | 2.6% | |
09:00 | 3 points | CPI (YoY) (Mar) | 2.2% | 2.3% | |
09:00 | 2 points | CPI (MoM) (Mar) | ———- | 0.4% | |
09:00 | 2 points | Unemployment Rate (Feb) | 6.2% | 6.2% | |
12:30 | 2 points | ECB President Lagarde Speaks | ———- | ———- | |
13:45 | 3 points | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Mar) | 49.8 | 52.7 | |
14:00 | 2 points | Construction Spending (MoM) (Feb) | 0.2% | -0.2% | |
14:00 | 2 points | ISM Manufacturing Employment (Mar) | ———- | 47.6 | |
14:00 | 3 points | ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mar) | 49.6 | 50.3 | |
14:00 | 3 points | ISM Manufacturing Prices (Mar) | 64.9 | 62.4 | |
14:00 | 3 points | JOLTS Job Openings (Feb) | 7.730M | 7.740M | |
16:30 | 2 points | ECB’s Lane Speaks | ———- | ———- | |
17:00 | 2 points | Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1) | -2.8% | -2.8% | |
23:25 | 2 points | RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks | ———- | ———- |
Summary of Upcoming Economic Events on April 1, 2025
Australia (🇦🇺)
- Retail Sales (MoM) (February) (00:30 UTC)
- Forecast: 0.3%
- Previous: 0.3%
- Market Impact:
- Higher retail sales support the AUD by signaling consumer strength.
- A weaker result may reflect demand softness and weigh on AUD.
- RBA Interest Rate Decision (April) (03:30 UTC)
- Forecast: 4.10%
- Previous: 4.10%
- Market Impact:
- A surprise hike would likely strengthen the AUD.
- A dovish tone or rate cut could pressure the AUD lower.
- RBA Rate Statement (03:30 UTC)
- Market Impact:
- Commentary on inflation, employment, and growth outlook will guide expectations for future monetary policy.
- Market Impact:
China (🇨🇳)
- Caixin Manufacturing PMI (March) (01:45 UTC)
- Forecast: 50.6
- Previous: 50.8
- Market Impact:
- Readings above 50 show sector expansion, supporting global sentiment and commodity-linked currencies.
- A sub-50 reading could pressure risk assets.
Eurozone (🇪🇺)
- HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (March) (08:00 UTC)
- Forecast: 48.7
- Previous: 47.6
- Market Impact:
- Improvement signals manufacturing recovery, potentially supporting the EUR.
- Persistent weakness may cap EUR gains.
- Core CPI (YoY) (March) (09:00 UTC)
- Forecast: 2.5%
- Previous: 2.6%
- Market Impact:
- Lower inflation could justify a dovish ECB stance.
- Stickier inflation might keep tightening risks alive, supporting the EUR.
- CPI (YoY) (March) (09:00 UTC)
- Forecast: 2.2%
- Previous: 2.3%
- Market Impact:
- Similar directional impact as Core CPI, with market sensitivity to inflation persistence.
- CPI (MoM) (March) (09:00 UTC)
- Previous: 0.4%
- Market Impact:
- Reinforces trends in price pressure; an upside surprise could be EUR-positive.
- Unemployment Rate (February) (09:00 UTC)
- Forecast: 6.2%
- Previous: 6.2%
- Market Impact:
- Stability supports economic recovery narrative.
- Any uptick might add pressure to the ECB to remain accommodative.
- ECB President Lagarde Speaks (12:30 UTC)
- Market Impact:
- Dovish rhetoric may soften the EUR.
- Hawkish tone could bolster the euro.
- Market Impact:
United States (🇺🇸)
- S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (March) (13:45 UTC)
- Forecast: 49.8
- Previous: 52.7
- Market Impact:
- A dip back into contraction territory (<50) may weigh on the USD.
- A rebound would suggest resilience in U.S. manufacturing.
- Construction Spending (MoM) (February) (14:00 UTC)
- Forecast: 0.2%
- Previous: -0.2%
- Market Impact:
- Improvement is USD-positive as it reflects investment activity.
- ISM Manufacturing Employment (March) (14:00 UTC)
- Previous: 47.6
- Market Impact:
- Labor market strength would support the USD.
- Weakness might raise concerns about broader employment trends.
- ISM Manufacturing PMI (March) (14:00 UTC)
- Forecast: 49.6
- Previous: 50.3
- Market Impact:
- Falling back below 50 could dampen USD sentiment.
- A surprise to the upside may bolster confidence in the recovery.
- ISM Manufacturing Prices (March) (14:00 UTC)
- Forecast: 64.9
- Previous: 62.4
- Market Impact:
- High input prices may signal inflationary pressures, affecting Fed policy bets.
- JOLTS Job Openings (February) (14:00 UTC)
- Forecast: 7.73M
- Previous: 7.74M
- Market Impact:
- A robust job openings figure would support labor market optimism.
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1) (17:00 UTC)
- Forecast: -2.8%
- Previous: -2.8%
- Market Impact:
- Negative readings point to slowing growth, which may weigh on the USD.
- RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks (23:25 UTC)
- Market Impact:
- Any remarks on monetary policy direction could affect AUD volatility.
- Market Impact:
Overall Market Impact Score: 7/10
Key Focus: RBA decision, Eurozone inflation data, U.S. ISM Manufacturing and JOLTS Job Openings. All critical to monetary policy expectations and broader market sentiment.